2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary
The 2024 Alabama Republican presidential primary will be held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 49 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-most basis.[1] The contest will be held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
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Background
In the 2016 Republican presidential contest, Donald Trump won the Alabama primary with 42.4% of the vote, with his nearest opponent, Senator Ted Cruz, taking 21.1% of the vote.
Republican electorate
The Alabama Republican Party electorate is predominantly evangelical. In 2012, an estimated 80% of Alabama Republican primary voters were affiliated with evangelical Christianity. In the 2008 and 2012 Alabama Republican presidential primaries, social conservative candidates Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, respectively, won by dominating the evangelical vote.[2]
Candidates
Former president Donald Trump and former South Carolina governor and U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley are the only main contenders to officially announce their candidacy so far,[3][4] although Florida governor Ron DeSantis is widely expected to announce his candidacy as soon as May 2023.[5]
Campaign
Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign was endorsed by Alabama's senior senator Tommy Tuberville in November 2022.[6] Former Vice President Mike Pence, who is reportedly considering a presidential candidacy, is set to speak before the University of Alabama's Young Americans for Freedom (YAF) chapter in April 2023.
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Tommy Tuberville (2021-present)[8]
- U.S. Representatives
- Barry Moore, AL-02 (2021-present)[9]
- Dale Strong, AL-05 (2023–present)[10]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies | Jan 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 50% | 31% | — | 19% |
| Jan 14–16, 2023 | 500 (LV) | — | 53% | 35% | — | 12% | |
| Cygnal | Oct 27–29, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.94% | 36% | 50% | 6% | 8% |
See also
Notes
- Has not declared his candidacy
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- "Alabama Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
- Lee, Timothy B. (2016-03-01). "Donald Trump wins Alabama Republican primary". Vox. Retrieved 2023-03-09.
- "Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). docquery.fec.gov. November 15, 2022. Retrieved February 9, 2023.
- "STATEMENT OF ORGANIZATION" (PDF), docquery.fec.gov, February 14, 2023, retrieved February 15, 2023
- Contorno, Steve; Warren, Michael (November 16, 2022). "As Trump blusters, DeSantis builds his case but tells people to 'chill out' with 2024 talk". CNN. Retrieved February 9, 2023.
- Koplowitz, Howard (2022-11-18). "Tuberville endorses Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign". al. Retrieved 2023-03-09.
- Sharma, Shweta (November 14, 2022). "Former Trump ally Mo Brooks denounces him as 'dishonest, disloyal, incompetent and crude'". The Independent. Retrieved November 20, 2022.
- Bump, Philip (November 17, 2022). "Who has signed up to back Trump in 2024 — and who loudly hasn't". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on November 19, 2022. Retrieved March 15, 2023.
- "U.S. Representative Barry Moore - Jeff Poor Show - Friday 12-02-22 - 5:48:55 pm". FMTALK 1065. December 2, 2022. Retrieved December 3, 2022.
- Smith, Dylan (November 29, 2022). "Strong endorses Trump for 2024, welcomes 'huge rally' in North Alabama". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved November 29, 2022.