2023 Paraguayan general election

The 2023 general election in Paraguay is scheduled to take place on 30 April 2023.[1] This will be the 8th election to occur since the 1989 coup d'état that ended the dictatorship of Alfredo Stroessner. Incumbent president Mario Abdo Benítez and vice president Hugo Velázquez Moreno of the Colorado Party are ineligible from seeking re-election. The president-elect and vice president-elect will take office on 15 August 2023.

2023 Paraguayan general election

30 April 2023 (2023-04-30)
Presidential election
 
Candidate Santiago Peña Efraín Alegre Paraguayo Cubas
Party Colorado PLRA PCN
Alliance Concertación
Running mate Pedro Alliana Soledad Núñez Stilber Valdez

Incumbent President

Mario Abdo Benítez
Colorado



Parliamentary election

Party Current seats
Chamber of Deputies (41 seats for a majority)
Colorado 42
PLRA 17
GANAR 13
PPQ 3
Hagamos Party 2
PEN 2
PCN 1
Senate (23 seats needed for a majority)
Colorado 17
PLRA 13
Guasú Front 6
PPQ 3
Hagamos Party 2
PDP 2
PCN 1
UNACE 1

Electoral system

The President of Paraguay is elected in one round of voting by plurality.[2] The 80 members of the Chamber of Deputies are elected by closed list proportional representation in 18 multi-member constituencies based on the departments.[3] The 45 members of the Senate are elected from a single national constituency using closed list proportional representation.[4]

Candidates

Candidates in the 2023 Paraguayan general election
List Ticket Candidates
President Vice President
1 ANR – Colorado Party Santiago Peña[5] Pedro Alliana
3 Concertación for a New Paraguay Efraín Alegre[6] Soledad Núñez[7]
7 National Union of Ethical Citizens Jorge Humberto Gómez Noelia Núñez
10 New Republic Movement Euclides Acevedo[8] Jorge Querey
14 Humanist and Solidary Movement Juan Félix Romero Catalina Ramírez
15 Unámonos National Party Luis Talavera Celso Álvarez
21 Party of the Youth José Luis Chilavert[9] Sofia Scheid
23 Green Party Paraguay Óscar Cañete Luis Wilfrido Arce
30 National Party of the People 30A Prudencio Burgos Leona Guaraní
33 Citizen Patriotic Coordinator Movement Alfredo Machuca Justina Noguera
45 Herederos Democratic Socialist Party Rosa Bogarín Herminio Lesme
777 Únete Paraguay Aurelio Martínez Cabral David Sánchez N.
911 National Crusade Paraguayo Cubas Stilber Valdez

Opinion polls

Opinion polling in the 2023 Paraguayan general election
Polling Firm Fieldwork Date Santiago Peña
ANC–PC
Efraín Alegre
PLRA
Euclides Acevedo
MNR
José Luis Chilavert
PJ
Paraguayo Cubas
PCN
Others Don't know None
AtlasIntel[10] 5 April 2023 36.4% 38.1% 2.8% 2.1% 14.5% 1.1% 3.5% 1.5%
AtlasIntel[11] 15 March 2023 36.1% 38.2% 2.7% 2.9% 14.3% 0.9% 4.2% 0.8%
FaSaC Consultores[12] 10 March 2023 42.8% 32.1% 6.1% 2.1% 13.7% 1.7% 1.5%
GEO[13] 27 February 2023 35.3% 39.7% 5.8% 0.7% 10.3% 8.2%
Datos[14] 24 February 2023 30.5% 33.6% 3.3% 10.4% 0.9% 20.1% 1.2%
FaSaC Consultores[15] 20 February 2023 41.3% 28.3% 9.5% 3.5% 13.9% 2% 1.5%
GEO[16] 20 February 2023 35.2% 38.9% 6.0% 0.8% 10.4% 9% 8.7%
Ati Snead[17] 6 February 2023 46.2% 24.9% 6.5% 1.2% 4.2% 9% 8%
OIMA[18] 2 February 2023 42% 19% 7% 4% 12% 10% 6%

Pre-election polling

Pre-election polling in the 2023 Paraguayan general election
Polling Firm Fieldwork date Peña
ANC–PC
Velázquez
ANC–PC
Alegre
PLRA
Acevedo
TBA
González
PEN
Villarejo
PPQ
Cubas
PCN
Martínez
FG-Ñ
Núñez
Ind
Burt
PLRA
Chilavert
Ind
Fleitas
PLRA
Don't know/
No response
None of
the above
FaSaC Consultores 20 September 2022 32.2% 22.1% 4.5% 11.8% 3.9% 16.1% 9.4%
Ati Snead 8–15 June 2022 23.2% 14.0% 14.3% 9.9% 9.7% 4.3% 2.9% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.1% 1.0% 9.0% 4.8%
GEO 27 May – 10 June 2022 35.3% 37.5% 13.4% 13.8%
28.2% 37.1% 18.5% 16.3%

References

  1. "El 30 de abril de 2023 Paraguay elegirá a su nuevo presidente". ultimahora.com (in European Spanish). Retrieved 23 February 2022.
  2. Paraguay: Election for President IFES
  3. Chamber of Deputies: Electoral system IPU
  4. Senate: Electoral system IPU
  5. "La Nación / Santiago Peña confirma su precandidatura para el 2023 como candidato de Honor Colorado". www.lanacion.com.py (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 March 2023.
  6. "Excandidato y exministra buscan candidatura opositora a Presidencia paraguaya". SWI swissinfo.ch (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 March 2023.
  7. "Exministra Soledad Núñez oficializa su candidatura presidencial - Nacionales - ABC Color". www.abc.com.py (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 March 2023.
  8. "Euclides deja la Cancillería y se suma a la carrera presidencial". ultimahora.com (in European Spanish). Retrieved 5 March 2023.
  9. "La Nación / Chilavert confirma candidatura a presidencia en el 2023". www.lanacion.com.py (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 March 2023.
  10. AtlasIntel (5 April 2023). "Encuesta Atlas – Elecciones Paraguay 2023". Paraguay.
  11. AtlasIntel (15 March 2023). "Encuesta Atlas – Elecciones Paraguay 2023". Paraguay.
  12. La Nación (10 March 2023). "Santiago Peña gana la primera encuesta de marzo". Paraguay.
  13. El Independiente (27 February 2023). "Alegre saca ventaja a Peña en encuesta". Paraguay.
  14. "Encuesta: la izquierda paraguaya se ubica tres puntos arriba del candidato de Cartes". La Política Online (in Spanish). Paraguay. 24 February 2023.
  15. "Peña también gana en todas las encuestas de febrero". La Nación (in Spanish). 20 February 2023.
  16. "Hay una diferencia del 3.7% a favor de Efraín Alegre por sobre Santi Peña segun encuestadora GEO". Ñanduti (in Spanish). 20 February 2023.
  17. "Latorre lidera encuesta para la diputación por capital". La Nación (in Spanish). 6 February 2023.
  18. "Peña, con más de 20 puntos por encima de Alegre, lidera preferencia electoral". La Nación (in Spanish). 2 February 2023.
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