2018 Sindh provincial election

Provincial elections were held in the Pakistani province of Sindh to elect the members of the 13th Provincial Assembly of Sindh on 25 July 2018, alongside nationwide general elections and three other provincial elections in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan and Punjab. The remaining two territories of Pakistan, AJK and Gilgit-Baltistan, were ineligible to vote due to their disputed status. .[2][3]

2018 Sindh provincial election

25 July 2018

All 168 seats in the Provincial Assembly
85 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout48.11%(6.51%)[1]
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Murad Ali Shah Imran Ismail Khawaja Izharul Hassan
Party PPP PTI MQM-P
Leader's seat Dadu-III Karachi South-V Karachi Central-II
Last election 91 seats, 32.63% 4 seats, 6.08% 51 seats, 25.53%
Seats won 99 30 21
Seat change 8 26 30
Popular vote 3,853,081 1,435,813 773,951
Percentage 38.44% 14.47% 7.65%
Swing 5.81pp 8.39pp 17.88pp

Map of Sindh showing Assembly Constituencies and winning Parties

Chief Minister before election

Murad Ali Shah
PPP

Elected Chief Minister

Murad Ali Shah
PPP

Background

Following the 2013 elections, despite a significant drop in vote share, the left-wing Pakistan Peoples Party remained the largest party in the assembly and held a comfortable majority with 91 seats. They were followed by the secularist, Muhajir-centric, Muttahida Qaumi Movement, which repeated its 2008 exploits, by securing 51 seats. New additions into the assembly included Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf, a welfarist, anti-establishment party led by former cricketer Imran Khan, who emerged as the second largest party in Karachi and gained 4 seats. Meanwhile, Pakistan Muslim League (F), PPP's perennial rival in Interior Sindh, held 11 seats.

Following the elections for the slot of chief ministership, Pakistan Peoples Party was easily able to form a government in Sindh for the ninth time in its existence.[4] Party veteran Qaim Ali Shah was elected in the role of provincial chief minister for the third time in his career, and remained at the position until 2016 when he stepped down and was replaced by Syed Murad Ali Shah.[5]

MQM Splits

During this tenure, MQM ceased to exist as single party due to internal rifts in the wake of the party's leader, Altaf Hussain, giving a controversial speech in August, 2016.[6] It split into MQM-Pakistan and MQM-London, the former in control of Farooq Sattar, while the latter managed by Hussain, who is in self-imposed exile in London since 1991.[7]

Meanwhile, Mustafa Kamal's nascent Pak Sarzameen Party chipped away at MQM-P members.[8] Kamal himself being a former MQM stalwart and erstwhile Mayor of Karachi, who formed the PSP on 23 March 2016.[9]

Further still, in the lead up to 2018 Senate elections, the MQM-P faction saw another split - into Sattar's MQM-PIB and Aamir Khan's MQM-Bahadruabad. The reason for the split being grievances over the allotment of Senate tickets.[10]

Rise of PTI in Karachi

In Karachi, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf was seen as a better alternative for the city because of increasing support and popularity of Imran Khan. In May 2018 PTI Chairman presented ten-point Karachi agenda which included holding direct mayoral elections and improving the education system, healthcare and hospitals, police, business and industry, power shortages, playgrounds and sporting facilities, environment, sewerage and the circular railway, this also attracted many people of Karachi to support PTI.

Although PTI won only 3 Sindh Assembly Seats and one National Assembly Seat from Karachi but still emerged as the 2nd largest party in Karachi in terms of vote bank. Nearly 0.7 Million Karachi citizens voted for Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf. [11]

Results

99 30 20 14 4
PPP PTI MQM GDA OTH
PartyVotes % ContestedSeats[12]+/-
General Women Minorities Total
Pakistan Peoples Party3,853,90438.44 12877 17 5 998
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf1,451,13214.47 9723 5 2 3026
Muttahida Qaumi Movement Pakistan766,7897.65 6115 4 1 2031
Grand Democratic Alliance1,514,77515.11 8311 2 1 14new party
Tehreek-i-Labbaik Pakistan452,1094.51 672 1 3new party
Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal601,1316.00 1071 11
Pak Sarzameen Party 161,860 1.61 77 0 0 new party
Independents & Others 1,224,312 12.21 1,574 0 0
Postponed 1 1
Total Valid Votes 10,026,012 96.08
Invalid/Blank Votes 408,538 3.92
Total Votes polled10,434,550100 2,194130 29 9 1680
Registered voters / turnout21,828,62847.80
Source:[13][14]

election postponed at ps-94 after the death of MQM-P incumbent

Division-wise results

DivisionTotal seatsPPPPTIMQMGDAOthers
Larkana17141020
Sukkur15111030
Nawabshah14100040
Mirpur Khas11100010
Hyderabad19160300
Banbhore1090010
Karachi447211303
Total130772316113

District-wise results

DistrictTotal seatsPPPPTIMQMGDAOthers
Jacobabad321000
Kashmore330000
Shikarpur320010
Larkana430010
Qambar Shahdadkot440000
Ghotki421010
Sukkur440000
Khairpur750020
Naushahro Feroz430010
Nawabshah550000
Sanghar630030
Mirpur Khas440000
Umerkot330000
Tharparkar430010
Matiari220000
Tando Allahyar220000
Hyderabad630300
Tando Muhammad Khan220000
Badin430010
Sujawal220000
Thatta330000
Jamshoro330000
Dadu440000
Malir550000
Korangi702500
Karachi East817000
Karachi South503002
Karachi West1115401
Karachi Central804400
Total130772316113

References

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