Mike Turner (Pollster)

Michael (Mike) Turner is a British statistician, pollster, political consultant, and commentator who has provided advice to political parties including the Labour Party, the Conservative Party, and the Liberal Party of Australia. Turner has appeared as a political commentator on television programmes in the UK, Australia, and New Zealand.

Turner is a Fellow at the Adam Smith Institute, and a Fellow at the Royal Statistical Society.[1]

Career

BMG Research

While working as Research Director & Head of Polling at BMG Research, Turner served as chief pollster for the UK Labour Party under the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn. This included providing advice during the 2017 General Election where Corbyn was successful in gaining 30 seats for the Labour Party and forcing Prime Minister Theresa May into a minority government.[2][3]

C/T Group

Following his time at BMG, Turner became the Head of Research for Crosby Textor (C/T Group). During this time Turner conducted polling and provided advice to clients including as chief pollster for the Liberal Party of Australia and the UK Conservative Party including during the 2019 Australian Federal Election [4] which saw the Morrison government re-elected, and the 2019 UK General Election which saw the Conservatives elected in an 80-seat landslide under the leadership of Boris Johnson.[5]

Freshwater Strategy

In July 2022, Turner and three other C/T Group directors left C/T to establish their own strategic consultancy: Freshwater Strategy.[6] At Freshwater, Turner worked for Liz Truss in her successful campaign for leadership of the UK Conservative Party, although he was later critical of her decision-making during her brief tenure as Prime Minister.[7]

In the lead up to the 2023 NSW State Election, Freshwater Strategy regularly provided polling data to the Australian Financial Review which underpinned a series of articles tracking the tightening of the election state-wide and in specific seats.[8][9][10]

References
  1. "Senior Fellows and Fellows". Adam Smith Institute. Retrieved 29 March 2023. {{cite web}}: Check |archive-url= value (help)CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  2. Murphy, Joe (16 August 2016). "POLL: Most Brits think Owen Smith should be Labour leader — but Corbyn is still strong favourite". Business Insider. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
  3. Watts, Joseph (23 November 2015). "Labour 'Less Electable Under Jeremy Corbyn'". Evening Standard. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
  4. Butler, Josh (10 April 2022). "The nerve centres: inside the Coalition and Labor election campaign headquarters". The Guardian. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
  5. Bourke, Latika (7 August 2019). "Australian Liberal Party strategist to run Boris Johnson's election campaign". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
  6. Bashan, Yoni (29 March 2023). "Parting of the ways at Lynton Crosby's C|T Group; Stock Swami struggling as case winds up". The Australian. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
  7. Jayes, Laura (21 October 2022). "Lis Truss made 'critical mistakes' as PM". skynews.com.au. Retrieved 29 March 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  8. Hutchinson, Samantha (27 February 2023). "This crucial Sydney seat could tip the election for the teals". The Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
  9. Hutchinson, Samantha (8 March 2023). "The Sydney seat that could secure a Labor election victory". The Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
  10. Hutchinson, Samantha (22 March 2023). "Undecided voters are warming to Labor: poll". The Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 29 March 2023.
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