1980 Republican Party presidential primaries

From January 21 to June 3, 1980, voters of the Republican Party chose its nominee for president in the 1980 United States presidential election. Retired Hollywood actor and two-term California governor Ronald Reagan was selected as the nominee through a series of primary elections and caucuses culminating in the Republican National Convention held from July 14 to July 17, 1980, in Detroit, Michigan.

1980 Republican Party presidential primaries

January 21 to June 3, 1980

1,990 delegates to the 1980 Republican National Convention
996 (majority) votes needed to win
 
Candidate Ronald Reagan George H. W. Bush John B. Anderson
Home state California Texas Illinois
Delegate count 1,222 637 128
Contests won 44 6 + DC 0
Popular vote 7,709,793 3,070,033 1,572,174
Percentage 59.8% 23.8% 12.2%

Red indicates a win by Reagan, blue a win by Bush.

Previous Republican nominee

Gerald Ford

Republican nominee

Ronald Reagan

Background

As the 1980 presidential election approached, incumbent Democratic president Jimmy Carter appeared vulnerable. High gas prices, economic stagflation, a renewed Cold War with the Soviet Union following the invasion of Afghanistan, and the Iran hostage crisis that developed when Iranian students seized the American embassy in Tehran all contributed to a general dissatisfaction with Carter's presidency; his job approval rating sank to below 20 percent in late-1979 as a result. Consequently, the president faced stiff Democratic primary challenges from Massachusetts Senator Ted Kennedy and California Governor Jerry Brown. A large field of Republican challengers also emerged.

Candidates

Nominee

Candidate Most recent position Home state Campaign

Withdrawal date

Popular vote Contests won Running mate
Ronald Reagan 33rd Governor of California
(1967–1975)
California
California

(CampaignPositions)
Secured nomination:
May 24, 1980
7,709,793
(59.79%)
44 George Bush

Withdrew during primaries

Candidate Most recent position Home state Campaign

Withdrawal date

Popular vote Contests won
George Bush 11th Director of Central Intelligence Agency
(1976–1977)
Texas
Texas

Withdrew: May 26
(endorsed Ronald Reagan, nominated for Vice President)
3,070,033

(23.81%)

8

CT, DC, IA, ME, MA, MI, PA, PR

John Anderson U.S. Representative
from Illinois
(1961–1981)

Illinois

Withdrew: April 24

(ran as independent)
1,572,174

(12.19%)

None
Howard Baker U.S. Senator
from Tennessee

(1967–1985)
Tennessee
Tennessee

Withdrew: March 5
(endorsed Ronald Reagan)
181,153

(1.41%)

None
Phil Crane U.S. Representative
from Illinois
(1969–2005)

Illinois

Withdrew: April 17
[1]
(endorsed Ronald Reagan)
97,793

(0.76%)

None
John Connally 61st Secretary of the Treasury
(1971–1972)
Texas
Texas

Withdrew: March 9
(endorsed Ronald Reagan)
82,625

(0.64%)

Won 1 delegate from Arkansas (Ada Mills)
Benjamin Fernandez U.S. Special Envoy to Paraguay (1973)
California
California

Withdrew: March 30

(endorsed Ronald Reagan)
25,520

(0.20%)

None
Harold Stassen Director of the United States Foreign Operations Administration
(1953-1955)
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
[data unknown/missing] 25,425

(0.20%)

None
Bob Dole U.S. Senator
from Kansas
(1969–1996)
Kansas
Kansas

Withdrew: March 15
7,204

(0.06%)

None

Withdrew before primaries

Declined to run

The following potential candidates declined to run for the Republican nomination in 1980.[2][3]

Polling

National polling

Poll source Publication date
John Anderson
Howard Baker
George Bush
John Connally
Bob Dole
Gerald Ford
Ronald Reagan
Others
Gallup[5] Aug. 1977 8% 20% 33% 3%
Gallup[5] Apr. 1978 11% 4% 4% 40% 30% 4%
Gallup[5] July 1978 9% 1% 5% 4% 37% 31% 5%
Gallup[5] Dec. 1978 1% 9% 1% 6% 1% 24% 40% 11%[lower-alpha 1]
Gallup[5] Apr. 1979 2% 8% 1% 12% 1% 26% 31% 11%[lower-alpha 2]
Gallup[5] May 1979 10% 8% 3% 27% 28%
Gallup[5] June 1979 0% 11% 0% 5% 0% 29% 37% 5%
Gallup[5] July 1979 3% 11% 1% 9% 2% 27% 32% 15%[lower-alpha 3]
Gallup[5] Aug. 1979 1% 10% 3% 8% 1% 21% 29% 16%[lower-alpha 4]
Gallup[5] Nov. 1979 1% 14% 2% 10% 3% 22% 33% 15%[lower-alpha 5]
Gallup[5] Nov. 1979 0% 11% 5% 8% 3% 24% 40%
Gallup[5] Dec. 1979 1% 9% 7% 10% 4% 18% 40% 10%[lower-alpha 6]
Gallup[5] Jan. 1980 3% 9% 9% 9% 0% 27% 33%
Gallup[5] Jan. 1980 0% 6% 28% 7% 0% 18% 29%
Gallup[5] Feb. 1980 2% 6% 17% 4% 1% 32% 34% 3%[lower-alpha 7]
Gallup[5] Feb. 1980 3% 7% 16% 25% 44%
  1. Including 1% for Phil Crane.
  2. Including 2% for Phil Crane.
  3. Including 2% for Phil Crane.
  4. Including 1% each for Phil Crane, Benjamin Fernandez, and Harold Stassen.
  5. Including 1% each for Phil Crane, Benjamin Fernandez, and Harold Stassen.
  6. Including 1% each for Phil Crane, Benjamin Fernandez, and Harold Stassen.
  7. 1% each for Phil Crane, Benjamin Fernandez, and Harold Stassen.

Primary race

Ronald Reagan, who had narrowly lost the 1976 Republican nomination to President Gerald Ford, was the early odds-on favorite to win the nomination in 1980. He was so far ahead in the polls that campaign director John Sears decided on an "above the fray" strategy. He did not attend many of the multi-candidate forums and straw polls in the summer and fall of 1979.

George H. W. Bush, the former director of the Central Intelligence Agency and chairman of the Republican National Committee, did go to all the so-called "cattle calls", and began to come in first at a number of these events. Along with the top two, a number of other Republican politicians entered the race.

In January 1980, the Iowa Republicans decided to have a straw poll as a part of their caucuses for that year. Bush defeated Reagan by a small margin. Bush declared he had "the Big Mo", and with Reagan boycotting the Puerto Rico primary in deference to New Hampshire, Bush won the territory easily, giving him an early lead going into New Hampshire.

With the other candidates in single digits, the Nashua Telegraph offered to host a debate between Reagan and Bush. Worried that a newspaper-sponsored debate might violate electoral regulations, Reagan subsequently arranged to fund the event with his own campaign money, inviting the other candidates to participate at short notice. The Bush camp did not learn of Reagan's decision to include the other candidates until the debate was due to commence. Bush refused to participate, which led to an impasse on the stage. As Reagan attempted to explain his decision, the editor of the Nashua Telegraph ordered the sound man to mute Reagan's microphone. A visibly angry Reagan responded, "I am paying for this microphone, Mr. Green!" [sic] (referring to the editor Jon Breen).[6][7][8] Eventually the other candidates agreed to leave, and the debate proceeded between Reagan and Bush. Reagan's quote was often repeated as "I paid for this microphone!" and dominated news coverage of the event; Reagan sailed to an easy win in New Hampshire.[9]

Ronald Reagan delivering his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention in Detroit, Michigan, on July 17, 1980.

Lee Bandy, a writer for the South Carolina newspaper The State stated that heading into the South Carolina primary, political operative Lee Atwater worked to engineer a victory for Reagan: "Lee Atwater figured that Connally was their biggest threat here in South Carolina. So Lee leaked a story to me that John Connally was trying to buy the black vote. Well, that story got out, thanks to me, and it probably killed Connally. He spent $10 million for one delegate. Lee saved Ronald Reagan's candidacy."[10]

Reagan swept the South, and although he lost five more primaries to Bush—including the Massachusetts primary in which he came in third place behind John B. Anderson—the former governor had a lock on the nomination very early in the season. Reagan said he would always be grateful to the people of Iowa for giving him "the kick in the pants" he needed.

Reagan was an adherent to a policy known as supply-side economics, which argues that economic growth can be most effectively created using incentives for people to produce (supply) goods and services, such as adjusting income tax and capital gains tax rates. Accordingly, Reagan promised an economic revival that would benefit all sectors of the population. He said that cutting tax rates would actually increase tax revenues because the lower rates would cause people to work harder as they would be able to keep more of their money. Reagan also called for a drastic cut in "big government" and pledged to deliver a balanced budget for the first time since 1969. In the primaries Bush called Reagan's economic policy "voodoo economics" because it promised to lower taxes and increase revenues at the same time.

Results

Statewide

Date
(daily totals)
Total
pledged delegates
Contest Delegates won and popular vote
John B. Anderson Howard Baker George Bush Ronald Reagan Others Total vote
January 21 Iowa caucus 38
4,585
6
16,216
13
33,530
12
31,348
8
20,372
106,051
February 2 Arkansas convention 22 0 0 8 9 5
February 17 Puerto Rico primary 20
68,934
14
111,940

5,497
186,371
February 22 Alaska caucus 20
0

34
5
818
12
1,789
3
459
3,100
February 26 New Hampshire primary 23
14,458
3
18,943
6
33,443
13
72,983

6,707
146,534
March 4 Massachusetts primary 46 16
122,987

19,366
16
124,365
15
115,334

18,771
400,823
Vermont 20 6
19,030
3
8,055
5
14,226
6
19,720

4,580
65,611
March 8 South Carolina primary 28
0

753
4
21,458
15
78,854
8
42,287
143,352
March 11
(126)
Alabama primary 31
0

1,963
8
53,232
23
146,042

7,564
208,800
Florida primary 55
56,447

6,294
19
185,527
36
345,093

20,224
613,585
Georgia primary 40
16,853

1,571
6
25,293
34
146,500

9,953
200,170
March 18 Illinois 103 39
415,193

7,051
12
124,057
52
547,355

36,425
1,130,081
March 25 Connecticut 38 9
40,354

2,446
16
70,367
14
61,735

7,382
182,284
New York primary 127[lower-alpha 1] 1 0 8 71 43
April 1 Kansas 34 7
51,493

3,603
5
35,408
23
177,988

14,147
282,639
Wisconsin 37 10
248,623

3,298
11
276,164
15
364,898

9,919
902,902
April 5 Louisiana 34
0
7
7,818
27
31,212

2,653
41,683
April 19 Maine 23 0 0 17 3 3
April 22 Pennsylvania 85
30,848
46
626,759
39
527,916

26,311
1,211,834
May 3 Arizona 31 0 0 0 31 0
Missouri 40 0 0 0 27 13
Oklahoma 38 0 0 0 34 4
Texas 82 40
250,219
42
268,169

8,112
526,500
May 6 Washington, D.C. 13 4
2,025
9
4,973

0

531
7,529
Indiana 56
56,342
10
92,955
46
419,556
568,853
North Carolina 43
8,542

2,543
10
36,631
33
113,854

6,821
168,391
Tennessee 34
8,722

10
7
35,274
27
144,625

6,589
195,210
May 13 Maryland 45
16,244

21
68,389
24
80,557

2,113
167,303
Nebraska 27
11,879

5
31,380
22
155,995

2,882
202,136
May 20
(116)
Michigan 85
48,947

55
341,998
30
189,184

15,047
595,176
Oregon 31 3
32,118

11
109,210
17
170,449

2,324
314,101
May 27 Idaho 23
13,130


5,416
23
111,868

4,465
134,879
Kentucky 31
4,791


6,869
31
78,601

5,068
95,329
Nevada 20


3,078
18
39,352
2
4,965
47,395
June 3 California 171 25
349,315

125,113
146
2,057,923

31,707
2,564,058
Mississippi 25
(8%)
25
(89%)

(0%)
Montana 23
7,665
23
68,744

3,014
79,423
New Jersey 70 12
45,447
58
225,959

4,571
275,977
New Mexico 23 3
7,171

5,892
16
37,982
4
8,501
59,546
Ohio 79 17
164,485
62
615,233
779,719
Rhode Island 16 3
962
13
3,839

503
5,304
South Dakota 23
3,691
23
72,861

6,353
82,905
West Virginia 22 3
19,509
19
115,407

3,100
138,016
2,152 128
1,549,249
20
191,935
637
3,102,808
1,222
7,637,219
99
541,342
12,830,618

Nationwide

Primaries, total popular vote:[11]

The Republican National Convention was held in Detroit, Michigan, from July 14 to July 17, 1980.

Endorsements

Ronald Reagan

John B. Connally, Jr.

George H.W. Bush

John B. Anderson

Howard Baker

Phil Crane

See also

Notes

  1. Votes cast for delegate slates by CD, not for candidates

References

  1. "Reagan Maneuvering His Bandwagon," Washington Post, April 18, 1980.
  2. Sidey, Hugh (29 May 1978). "The Presidency: Roses with a Touch of Ragweed". Time.
  3. "Republicans: There's Life in the Old Party Yet". time. 15 November 1976.
  4. Clymer, Adam (March 8, 1979). "Backers of Reagan Open His Campaign". New York Times. p. A18. Retrieved 20 March 2020.
  5. "US President - R Primaries". OurCampaigns.com. 16 Nov 2004. Retrieved 29 Oct 2020.
  6. "Reagan's Nashua Moment"
  7. "Nation: We Were Sandbagged". Time. 10 March 1980.
  8. "Molloy Sound and Video Contractors: Articles (1/1/11)". Molloysoundandvideo.com. 2000-02-10. Retrieved 2011-01-22.
  9. Dunham, Richard (20 October 2009). "New book tells inside story of pivotal Bush-Reagan debate in Nashua". The Houston Chronicle.
  10. Forbes, Stefan (2008). "Transcript – Boogie Man: The Lee Atwater Story". PBS Frontline.
  11. "US President - R Primaries Race - Feb 17, 1980". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 2012-02-03.
  12. "1980 New Hampshire Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
  13. "1980 Vermont Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
  14. "1980 Kansas Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
  15. "1980 Ohio Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
  16. "1980 Ohio Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
  17. "1980 South Carolina Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
  18. "1980 New Hampshire Republican Primary".
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  28. "Some race car drivers have become so successful they have become capitalists". The Boston Globe. February 13, 1980.
  29. "1980 Massachusetts Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
  30. "1980 Massachusetts Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
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  32. "1980 Ohio Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
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  37. "1980 Vermont Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
  38. "McCloskey Buries the Hatchet by Endorsing Reagan". September 26, 1980.
  39. "John Anderson: The Nice Guy Syndrome". February 1980.
  40. "1980 Kansas Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
  41. "1980 New Hampshire Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
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  44. "1980 Vermont Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
  45. "1980 Georgia Republican Primary". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 21 April 2020.
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